Uhlaziyo lwemakethi: Abahlalutyi bachaze indlela enyukayo yamaxabiso e-cocoa 'njengeparabolic' njengoko ikamva lecocoa linyuke enye i-2.7% ukuya kwirekhodi entsha ye-10760 yeedola ngetoni eNew York ngoMvulo (we-15 kuTshazimpuzi) ngaphambi kokuba ibuyele kwi-£10000 yetoni emva isalathiso sedola (DXY00) idibene ne-5-1 / 4 inyanga ephezulu.

Inkxalabo yokuba ukuhanjiswa kwecocoa yehlabathi kuya kuqhubeka ukucutheka kwiinyanga ezizayo kukutyhalela amaxabiso kwirekhodi entsha.Abahlalutyi boPhando lweCiti baqikelela ukuba ukuguquguquka kweemarike zecocoa kunokubona ikamva laseNew York linyuka liye kutsho kwi-12500 yeedola ngetoni kwiinyanga ezintathu ezizayo.

Amaxabiso eNew York azuze iiseshini ezisixhenxe ezithe ngqo, elona xesha lide ukusukela ekuqaleni kukaFebruwari.Izivuno kummandla okhulayo waseNtshona Afrika ziye zachatshazelwa kakhulu yimozulu embi nezifo zezityalo.

I-Bloomberg ibike ngoMvulo ukuba ukufika kwe-cocoa kumachweba e-cote d'lvoire (umvelisi omkhulu we-cocoa wehlabathi) bafikelele kwi-1.31 yezigidi zeetoni ukuza kuthi ga ngoku esi sizathu, phantsi kwe-30% ukusuka kunyaka ongaphambili.

Ukutshona

Abahlalutyi be-Citi babhala ukuba amaxabiso aphakamileyo nawo aphakamisa umngcipheko wokungabikho kwemali kubathengisi kunye nabathengi kwiinyanga ezi-6 ukuya kwii-12 ezizayo.

I-Barchart.com inika ingxelo yokuba ngenxa yokunqongophala kwezinto ezisetyenziswayo, abasele be-cocoa behlabathi bahlawula kwimarike yemali ukuze bakhusele i-cocoa kulo nyaka ngenxa yeenkxalabo ezikhulayo zokuba ababoneleli be-cocoa baseNtshona Afrika banokusilela kwiikhontrakthi zokubonelela.

NgoMvulo we-15 ku-Epreli 2024 umfanekiso wemarike: NgoMeyi ICE NY cocoa (CCK24) ivaliwe +14 (+ 0.13%), kunye noMeyi ICE London cocoa #7 (CAK24) ivaliwe +191 (+2.13%).

I-Bloomberg iphinde yabika ukuba iBhodi yeCocoa yaseGhana ixoxisana nabathengisi ababalulekileyo be-cocoa ukuba bahlehlise ukuhanjiswa kwe-150000 MT ubuncinane kwi-250000 MT ye-cocoa kude kube yisizini ezayo ngenxa yokunqongophala kweembotyi.

Amaxabiso e-cocoa aye akhula ngokukhawuleza ukususela ekuqaleni konyaka, eqhutywa yintlupheko embi kakhulu yokubonelela kwiminyaka engama-40.

Idatha yangoMvulo karhulumente evela eCote d'lvoire ibonise ukuba amafama ase-Ivory Coast athumela i-1.31 MMT ye-cocoa ukuya kumachweba ukusuka ku-Okthobha woku-1 ukuya kwi-14 ku-Epreli, ehla nge-30% ukusuka ngexesha elifanayo kulo nyaka uphelileyo.

Intsilelo yecocoa yonyaka wesithathu

Kulindeleke ukuba intsilelo ye-cocoa yonyaka wesithathu inyuke iye kuthi ga ngo-2023-24 kuba imveliso yangoku ayanelanga ukuhlangabezana nemfuno.

Kwakhona, amaxabiso e-cocoa abona inkxaso evela kwimeko yemozulu ye-EI Nino yangoku emva kokuba isiganeko se-EI Nino kwi-2016 sibangele isomiso esabangela i-rally kumaxabiso e-cocoa ukuya kwi-12-year high, accordinf ku-barchart.com.